SEASeahawks
2-4
17
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
038
DALCowboys
4-2
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
7
0
7
17
Cowboys
7
14
8
3
32
Spread
-10
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
308
362
Total Plays
64
67
Yards / Play
4.8
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.13
Passing Yards
229
249
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.16
Rushing Yards
79
113
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
26
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
43%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-8.57
-5.69
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-20
-7
Sack EPA
-4.90
-6.75
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
53
43
Penalty EPA
-7.21
-4.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-11.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+244
Home nfelo
1,608
Away nfelo
1,432
Home Field
+36.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+31.3
Home QB Adjustment
+15.1
Away QB Adjustment
-16.2
Market Regression
-24.5
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-16.2
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
3
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
26
4
EPA
EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
24
17
EPA / Rush
31
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
13
Interceptions / Game
24
27
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
7
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
3
4th Down Efficiency
22
8
RZ Efficiency
30
26
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
25
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
2
5
Rushing Yards / Game
6
14
EPA
EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
9
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
11
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
18
4th Down Efficiency
31
15
RZ Efficiency
17
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
2-4-4
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-2-4
O/U