SEASeahawks
3-4
13
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
012
DALCowboys
2-4
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
7
0
3
13
Cowboys
3
3
3
3
12
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
323
220
Total Plays
61
57
Yards / Play
5.3
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.09
Passing Yards
--
91
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
13/26(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.05
-0.31
Rushing Yards
113
129
Rush Attempts
31
30
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
11
4
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.02
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-6
Sack EPA
--
-0.29
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
40
40
Penalty EPA
-3.61
-1.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-149
Home nfelo
1,531
Away nfelo
1,629
Home Field
+51.0
Base HFA
+62.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.1
Net QB Adjustment
-102.1
Home QB Adjustment
-112.0
Away QB Adjustment
-9.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-9.9
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-112.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
16
Yards / Game
8
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
22
EPA
EPA / Play
3
26
EPA / Pass
1
21
EPA / Rush
12
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
21
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
5
32
Turnover EPA / Game
27
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
17
4th Down Efficiency
1
17
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
3
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
6
Rushing Yards / Game
8
3
EPA
EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
31
6
EPA / Rush
5
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
5
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
21
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
29
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U