SEASeahawks
10-6
22
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
024
DALCowboys
10-6
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
6
8
8
22
Cowboys
3
7
0
14
24
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
303
380
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
5.6
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.04
Passing Yards
226
216
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.05
Rushing Yards
77
164
Rush Attempts
26
34
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
23
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
15%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.24
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-10
Sack EPA
-2.23
-2.00
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
36
36
Penalty EPA
-5.42
-4.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+30
Home nfelo
1,520
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+37.1
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-20.7
Net QB Adjustment
+19.8
Home QB Adjustment
+12.1
Away QB Adjustment
-7.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-7.7
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
7
Yards / Game
18
8
Passing Yards / Game
19
16
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
5
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
7
Interceptions / Game
2
27
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
24
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
13
Yards / Game
22
19
Passing Yards / Game
15
24
Rushing Yards / Game
10
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
19
EPA / Pass
17
11
EPA / Rush
7
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
8
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U