SEASeahawks
2-1
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
67°F
8 mph
3
NYGGiants
1-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
1
3
18
Giants
0
3
0
0
3
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
281
248
Total Plays
51
74
Yards / Play
5.5
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.46
Passing Yards
160
136
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
27/34(79%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.28
-0.90
Rushing Yards
121
112
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-23.71
Sacks
2
11
Sack Yards
-13
-67
Sack EPA
-2.70
-20.95
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
74
45
Penalty EPA
-3.96
-3.38
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-28
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,499
Home Field
+19.9
Base HFA
+42.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-23.0
Net QB Adjustment
-13.0
Home QB Adjustment
-8.2
Away QB Adjustment
+4.8
Market Regression
-21.1
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+4.8
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-8.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
26
Yards / Game
22
27
Passing Yards / Game
7
5
Rushing Yards / Game
27
29
EPA
EPA / Play
9
17
EPA / Pass
12
12
EPA / Rush
12
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
15
3
Fumbles / Game
1
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
10
4th Down Efficiency
30
20
RZ Efficiency
26
24
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
24
Yards / Game
29
30
Passing Yards / Game
29
22
Rushing Yards / Game
16
31
EPA
EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
29
27
EPA / Rush
29
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
15
19
Fumbles / Game
6
13
Turnover EPA / Game
21
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
31
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
31
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U