SEASeahawks
1-3
36
TBD
MetLife Stadium
81°F
4 mph
25
NYGGiants
3-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
81°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
14
0
0
14
28
Giants
7
7
0
11
25
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
424
466
Total Plays
76
68
Yards / Play
5.6
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.20
Passing Yards
279
395
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
10.1
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.15
Rushing Yards
145
71
Rush Attempts
29
26
Yards / Rush
5.0
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-13.71
-23.29
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-36
-25
Sack EPA
-9.48
-7.45
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
70
52
Penalty EPA
-7.24
-5.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+267
Home nfelo
1,562
Away nfelo
1,401
Home Field
+96.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+9.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
T. Jackson
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+9.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
20
Yards / Game
28
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
27
Rushing Yards / Game
20
18
EPA
EPA / Play
25
24
EPA / Pass
20
26
EPA / Rush
27
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
23
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
17
11
Turnover EPA / Game
22
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
21
21
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
7
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
3
12
Rushing Yards / Game
29
15
EPA
EPA / Play
5
5
EPA / Pass
5
3
EPA / Rush
26
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
4
Interceptions / Game
12
3
Fumbles / Game
16
18
Turnover EPA / Game
29
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
9
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U