SEASeahawks
3-2
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
75°F
7 mph
7
NYGGiants
1-5
TBD
MetLife Stadium
75°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
7
14
24
Giants
0
7
0
0
7
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
177
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
6.0
3.1
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.35
Passing Yards
321
131
Comp/Att
27/39(69%)
19/39(49%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.45
Rushing Yards
104
46
Rush Attempts
31
17
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
14
Passing 1st downs
19
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
--
Penalty 1st downs
3
6
3rd Down %
46%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.49
-5.35
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-13
-3
Sack EPA
-2.32
-5.35
Penalties
15
7
Penalty Yards
110
28
Penalty EPA
-16.79
-5.41
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-141
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,602
Home Field
-7.8
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-44.4
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-20.4
Net QB Adjustment
-4.3
Home QB Adjustment
-1.0
Away QB Adjustment
+3.3
Market Regression
+74.0
Final Difference
-115.7
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
27
Yards / Game
15
31
Passing Yards / Game
9
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
26
EPA
EPA / Play
19
18
EPA / Pass
13
21
EPA / Rush
24
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
19
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
25
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
4
RZ Efficiency
12
18
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U