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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ giants week 7, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
3-2
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
75°F
7 mph
7
NYGGiants
1-5
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
75°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
7
14
24
Giants
0
7
0
0
7

Spread

SEA logo
-4

Total

UNDER
39

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
425
177
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
6.0
3.1
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.35
Passing Yards
321
131
Comp/Att
27/39(69%)
19/39(49%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.45
Rushing Yards
104
46
Rush Attempts
31
17
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
26
14
Passing 1st downs
19
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
--
Penalty 1st downs
3
6
3rd Down %
46%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.49
-5.35
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-13
-3
Sack EPA
-2.32
-5.35
Penalties
15
7
Penalty Yards
110
28
Penalty EPA
-16.79
-5.41

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.5

Win Probability

Market65.2%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-142
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,601
Home Field
-7.8
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-45.0
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-20.7
Net QB Adjustment
-4.3
Home QB Adjustment
-1.0
Away QB Adjustment
+3.3
Market Regression
+74.0
Final Difference
-115.7
Model Spread
+4.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+3.3
Value
Ptile
12/15
1.2
58
12/24
4.7
82
01/01
0.9
56
01/07
-0.2
47
01/14
-1.9
35
09/10
-4.1
24
09/17
-1.7
40
09/24
9.5
97
10/01
4.9
84
10/08
-3.1
30
E. Manning headshot

E. Manning

Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.0
Value
Ptile
12/18
0.7
54
12/22
-1.0
41
01/01
-2.7
28
01/08
-2.2
33
09/10
-2.9
33
09/18
-4.7
21
09/24
7.8
93
10/01
7.7
93
10/08
-4.5
22
10/15
-4.0
25

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Seahawks logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
12
27
Yards / Game
15
31
Passing Yards / Game
9
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
26

EPA

EPA / Play
19
18
EPA / Pass
13
21
EPA / Rush
24
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
19
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
25
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
4
RZ Efficiency
12
18
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Giants logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20

EPA

EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
27
6
EPA / Rush
27
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
13
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
15
RZ Efficiency
24
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
21
W
W
U
12/24
-3
L
L
O
01/01
2
W
L
O
01/07
20
W
W
U
01/14
-16
L
L
O
09/10
-8
L
L
U
09/17
3
W
L
U
09/24
-6
L
L
O
10/01
28
W
W
O
10/08
6
W
W
U
NYG logo

Giants

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/18
11
W
W
U
12/22
-5
L
L
O
01/01
9
W
W
U
01/08
-25
L
L
O
09/10
-16
L
L
U
09/18
-14
L
L
U
09/24
-3
L
W
O
10/01
-2
L
W
O
10/08
-5
L
L
O
10/15
13
W
W
U