SEASeahawks
11-2
23
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
7 mph
0
NYGGiants
5-8
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
10
3
7
23
Giants
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-9
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
181
Total Plays
67
53
Yards / Play
4.9
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.51
Passing Yards
193
156
Comp/Att
20/29(69%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.58
Rushing Yards
134
25
Rush Attempts
34
14
Yards / Rush
3.9
1.8
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
12
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
23%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
3
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
5
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.53
-15.66
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-29
-30
Sack EPA
-6.06
-5.37
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
50
38
Penalty EPA
-7.28
-3.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-9.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market78.3%
Model71.5%
Spread Pick
Giants+9.0
Expected Value
+20.2%
Cover Probability
61.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-108
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,666
Home Field
+96.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-34.5
Home QB Adjustment
-22.3
Away QB Adjustment
+12.2
Market Regression
-16.7
Final Difference
-159.7
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-22.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
17
Yards / Game
22
8
Passing Yards / Game
28
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
12
EPA
EPA / Play
12
7
EPA / Pass
4
8
EPA / Rush
21
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
20
Interceptions / Game
2
12
Fumbles / Game
21
5
Turnover EPA / Game
29
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
22
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
14
15
Giants Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
1
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
13
5
Rushing Yards / Game
29
7
EPA
EPA / Play
32
1
EPA / Pass
28
1
EPA / Rush
32
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
16
Interceptions / Game
32
1
Fumbles / Game
31
13
Turnover EPA / Game
1
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
9
4th Down Efficiency
15
7
RZ Efficiency
30
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U