SEASeahawks
2-1
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
61°F
017
NYJJets
1-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
61°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
14
3
10
27
Jets
3
7
0
7
17
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
305
Total Plays
60
65
Yards / Play
5.9
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.23
-0.02
Passing Yards
288
247
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
23/41(56%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.49
+0.12
Rushing Yards
66
58
Rush Attempts
26
20
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
30%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.70
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-21
-14
Sack EPA
-3.41
+1.19
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
71
60
Penalty EPA
-7.26
-9.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+1
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,615
Home Field
+89.2
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+31.1
Net QB Adjustment
-5.9
Home QB Adjustment
-6.6
Away QB Adjustment
-0.6
Market Regression
+28.1
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-0.6
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-6.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
28
Yards / Game
15
11
Passing Yards / Game
4
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
13
EPA
EPA / Play
14
23
EPA / Pass
10
30
EPA / Rush
21
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
15
29
Fumbles / Game
6
27
Turnover EPA / Game
21
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
21
1
RZ Efficiency
26
21
Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
2
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
14
Rushing Yards / Game
11
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
8
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
9
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
32
25
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
3
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
12
4th Down Efficiency
26
5
RZ Efficiency
32
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U