SEASeahawks
0-1
37
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
031
DETLions
1-0
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
7
0
10
8
6
31
Lions
7
7
7
10
0
31
Spread
+4.5
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
393
418
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
5.9
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.03
Passing Yards
311
316
Comp/Att
32/41(78%)
28/35(80%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
9.0
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.17
Rushing Yards
82
102
Rush Attempts
25
27
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
25
Passing 1st downs
18
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
45%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.79
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-17
-7
Sack EPA
-1.76
-2.45
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
80
24
Penalty EPA
-9.87
-2.75
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+141
Home nfelo
1,544
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
+66.0
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+23.1
Net QB Adjustment
+2.7
Home QB Adjustment
+0.1
Away QB Adjustment
-2.6
Market Regression
-14.9
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-2.6
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+0.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
25
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
18
Rushing Yards / Game
27
2
EPA
EPA / Play
9
23
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
12
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
27
Interceptions / Game
15
9
Fumbles / Game
1
29
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
30
27
RZ Efficiency
26
30
Lions Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
3
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31
EPA
EPA / Play
8
29
EPA / Pass
5
27
EPA / Rush
11
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
23
Interceptions / Game
8
19
Fumbles / Game
19
13
Turnover EPA / Game
14
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
31
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
2
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
1-9
ATS
4-6
O/U
Lions
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
5-5
O/U