SEASeahawks
-
9
TBD
Lambeau Field
71°F
11 mph
17
GBPackers
-
TBD
Lambeau Field
71°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
3
9
Packers
0
0
14
3
17
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
370
Total Plays
48
74
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.02
Passing Yards
135
286
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
28/42(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.38
+0.05
Rushing Yards
90
84
Rush Attempts
18
28
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
26
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.77
-6.42
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-23
-25
Sack EPA
-7.01
-6.07
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
50
70
Penalty EPA
+2.70
-3.29
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+59
Home nfelo
1,564
Away nfelo
1,594
Home Field
+67.1
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
-10.3
Net QB Adjustment
+21.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.2
Away QB Adjustment
-3.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.4
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
26
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
9
25
Rushing Yards / Game
23
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
29
EPA / Pass
13
30
EPA / Rush
24
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
5
Interceptions / Game
13
18
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
25
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
28
4th Down Efficiency
7
31
RZ Efficiency
12
30
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
9
Yards / Game
26
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
20
EPA
EPA / Play
17
8
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
2
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
28
14
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
4
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
8-2
O/U