SEASeahawks
8-3
10
TBD
Lambeau Field
26°F
5 mph
38
GBPackers
6-6
TBD
Lambeau Field
26°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
0
0
7
10
Packers
7
14
7
10
38
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
330
Total Plays
68
56
Yards / Play
5.2
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.14
Passing Yards
218
237
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
18/25(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
9.5
EPA / Pass
-0.56
+0.49
Rushing Yards
136
93
Rush Attempts
26
30
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
0
Interceptions
5
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-26.94
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-9
Sack EPA
-4.88
-1.84
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
63
50
Penalty EPA
-6.12
-0.56
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model55.1%
Spread Pick
Packers+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-0
Home nfelo
1,520
Away nfelo
1,626
Home Field
+66.9
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
-10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+39.0
Home QB Adjustment
+29.7
Away QB Adjustment
-9.3
Market Regression
-7.2
Final Difference
-35.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-9.3
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+29.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
25
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
21
10
EPA
EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
10
28
EPA / Rush
21
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
15
8
Fumbles / Game
6
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
24
RZ Efficiency
26
27
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
2
Yards / Game
7
5
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
6
EPA
EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
3
16
EPA / Rush
8
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
7
25
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
28
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
7
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-2-1
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Packers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U