nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ packers week 16, 2009

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SEA logo
SEASeahawks
5-9
10
TBD
Lambeau Field
18°F
5 mph
48
GBPackers
9-5
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
18°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
7
10
Packers
14
10
14
10
48

Spread

GB logo
-13.5

Total

OVER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
291
417
Total Plays
69
62
Yards / Play
4.2
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.39
Passing Yards
176
264
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
9.1
EPA / Pass
-0.42
+0.36
Rushing Yards
115
153
Rush Attempts
29
32
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.21
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
35%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
25%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
1
5
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.64
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-9
Sack EPA
-6.75
-2.31
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
86
50
Penalty EPA
-9.88
-4.28

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-13.5

Win Probability

Market86.2%
Model86.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+338
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,403
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+29.3
Home QB Adjustment
+24.8
Away QB Adjustment
-4.5
Market Regression
-34.5
Final Difference
318.3
Model Spread
-13.5

Quarterbacks

M. Hasselbeck headshot

M. Hasselbeck

Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-4.5
Value
Ptile
10/11
6.7
88
10/18
-13.5
1
11/01
1.2
57
11/08
5.6
85
11/15
-5.2
19
11/22
0.2
51
11/29
-3.2
30
12/06
2.0
64
12/13
-0.9
44
12/20
-4.8
21
A. Rodgers headshot

A. Rodgers

Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
+24.8
Value
Ptile
10/18
2.6
66
10/25
8.6
94
11/01
5.5
85
11/08
-5.1
20
11/15
2.1
64
11/22
7.7
91
11/26
8.4
93
12/07
5.0
82
12/13
-2.8
32
12/20
11.6
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Seahawks logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
25
15
Yards / Game
21
3
Passing Yards / Game
7
10
Rushing Yards / Game
26
2

EPA

EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
24
8
EPA / Rush
31
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
1
Interceptions / Game
24
1
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
7
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
9
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Packers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
2
25
Yards / Game
3
23
Passing Yards / Game
1
5
Rushing Yards / Game
16
14

EPA

EPA / Play
4
21
EPA / Pass
5
28
EPA / Rush
5
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
11
Interceptions / Game
2
22
Fumbles / Game
11
23
Turnover EPA / Game
28
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
7
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/11
41
W
W
U
10/18
-24
L
L
U
11/01
-21
L
L
O
11/08
12
W
W
O
11/15
-11
L
L
O
11/22
-26
L
L
U
11/29
10
W
W
O
12/06
3
W
W
U
12/13
-27
L
L
U
12/20
-17
L
L
U
GB logo

Packers

7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/18
26
W
W
U
10/25
28
W
W
U
11/01
-12
L
L
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
11/15
10
W
W
U
11/22
6
W
P
O
11/26
22
W
W
U
12/07
13
W
W
U
12/13
7
W
W
U
12/20
-1
L
W
O