SEASeahawks
-
12
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
87°F
7 mph
7
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
87°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
6
12
Panthers
0
7
0
0
7
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
253
Total Plays
62
50
Yards / Play
6.0
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.00
Passing Yards
300
119
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
16/23(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.17
Rushing Yards
70
134
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
2.7
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
17
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
46%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-0.69
-3.91
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-20
-6
Sack EPA
-4.28
-1.59
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
99
46
Penalty EPA
-5.74
-2.79
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model51.9%
Spread Pick
Panthers+3.0
Expected Value
+8.7%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+32
Home nfelo
1,533
Away nfelo
1,610
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-9.3
Home QB Adjustment
+9.0
Away QB Adjustment
+18.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-13.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.3
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+9.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
28
17
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
12
6
EPA / Pass
4
5
EPA / Rush
21
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
9
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
21
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
26
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
5
Rushing Yards / Game
12
7
EPA
EPA / Play
13
1
EPA / Pass
15
1
EPA / Rush
5
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
16
Interceptions / Game
14
1
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
30
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
9
4th Down Efficiency
2
7
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
7-3
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U