SEASeahawks
2-2
16
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
6 mph
12
CARPanthers
1-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
63°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
3
7
3
16
Panthers
0
3
1
0
4
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
190
Total Plays
62
52
Yards / Play
5.0
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.38
Passing Yards
212
108
Comp/Att
19/25(76%)
12/29(41%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.48
Rushing Yards
98
82
Rush Attempts
35
19
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
13
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
50%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-14.58
-7.98
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-9
-33
Sack EPA
-2.39
-8.91
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-5.57
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model62.1%
Spread Pick
Panthers-1.5
Expected Value
+20.0%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+137
Home nfelo
1,498
Away nfelo
1,452
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+18.1
Home QB Adjustment
+11.8
Away QB Adjustment
-6.3
Market Regression
-13.5
Final Difference
85.9
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-6.3
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
14
10
Passing Yards / Game
23
21
Rushing Yards / Game
4
13
EPA
EPA / Play
2
22
EPA / Pass
4
16
EPA / Rush
5
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
5
23
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
31
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
1
Yards / Game
13
3
Passing Yards / Game
11
2
Rushing Yards / Game
9
11
EPA
EPA / Play
12
5
EPA / Pass
11
5
EPA / Rush
6
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
18
Interceptions / Game
7
6
Fumbles / Game
7
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
21
4th Down Efficiency
27
2
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U