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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ panthers week 8, 2014

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
3-3
13
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
77°F
9 mph
9
CARPanthers
3-3
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
77°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
7
13
Panthers
3
3
0
3
9

Spread

CAR logo
+6

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
310
266
Total Plays
59
56
Yards / Play
5.3
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.14
Passing Yards
191
152
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.37
Rushing Yards
119
114
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.39
-11.27
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-19
Sack EPA
-1.35
-1.97
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
41
20
Penalty EPA
-5.85
-3.55

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market69.8%
Model60.1%
Spread Pick
CAR logo
Panthers+6.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+18.4%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-9
Home nfelo
1,459
Away nfelo
1,636
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+50.4
Home QB Adjustment
+71.2
Away QB Adjustment
+20.8
Market Regression
-19.3
Final Difference
-71.5
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+20.8
Value
Ptile
12/29
-4.0
24
01/11
-6.0
14
01/19
-2.4
36
02/02
5.7
85
09/04
3.3
72
09/14
1.9
64
09/21
2.0
66
10/06
10.7
98
10/12
-6.0
15
10/19
11.6
98
C. Newton headshot

C. Newton

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+71.2
Value
Ptile
12/15
1.4
60
12/22
-5.7
16
12/29
0.3
52
01/12
-2.4
37
09/14
1.1
58
09/21
0.9
56
09/28
-1.4
40
10/05
-1.5
39
10/12
12.3
99
10/19
-2.4
33

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Seahawks logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
8
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11

EPA

EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
1
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
14
Interceptions / Game
5
15
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
14
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Panthers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
15
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
4

EPA

EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
19
4
EPA / Rush
11
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
12
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
14
15
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
25
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/29
18
W
W
U
01/11
8
W
L
U
01/19
6
W
W
P
02/02
35
W
W
O
09/04
20
W
W
O
09/14
-9
L
L
O
09/21
6
W
W
U
10/06
10
W
W
U
10/12
-7
L
L
O
10/19
-2
L
L
O
CAR logo

Panthers

5-4-1
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
4
W
W
U
12/29
1
W
L
U
01/12
-13
L
L
U
09/07
6
W
W
U
09/14
17
W
W
U
09/21
-18
L
L
O
09/28
-28
L
L
O
10/05
7
W
W
O
10/12
0
T
W
O
10/19
-21
L
L
O