SEASeahawks
3-3
13
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
77°F
9 mph
9
CARPanthers
3-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
77°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
3
7
13
Panthers
3
3
0
3
9
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
266
Total Plays
59
56
Yards / Play
5.3
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.14
Passing Yards
191
152
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.37
Rushing Yards
119
114
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.39
-11.27
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-19
Sack EPA
-1.35
-1.97
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
41
20
Penalty EPA
-5.85
-3.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model60.3%
Spread Pick
Panthers+6.0
Expected Value
+18.4%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-11
Home nfelo
1,461
Away nfelo
1,640
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+50.4
Home QB Adjustment
+71.2
Away QB Adjustment
+20.8
Market Regression
-19.5
Final Difference
-72.6
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+20.8
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+71.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
8
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
14
Interceptions / Game
5
15
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
14
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
15
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
4
EPA
EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
19
4
EPA / Rush
11
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
12
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
14
15
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Panthers
5-4-1
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U