SEASeahawks
11-6
24
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
43°F
7 mph
31
CARPanthers
15-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
43°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
14
10
24
Panthers
8
17
0
0
25
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
295
Total Plays
65
64
Yards / Play
6.2
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.12
Passing Yards
325
151
Comp/Att
31/48(65%)
16/22(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.57
Rushing Yards
78
144
Rush Attempts
12
41
Yards / Rush
6.5
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.51
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
19
Passing 1st downs
18
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
45%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.23
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-41
-10
Sack EPA
-8.28
-2.29
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-5.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model60.6%
Spread Pick
Panthers-2.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+127
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,648
Home Field
+127.3
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.4
Time Adj
+31.4
Net QB Adjustment
+16.4
Home QB Adjustment
+35.3
Away QB Adjustment
+18.9
Market Regression
-3.2
Final Difference
74.7
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+35.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
20
Rushing Yards / Game
3
4
EPA
EPA / Play
3
2
EPA / Pass
1
2
EPA / Rush
12
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
19
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
5
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
9
4th Down Efficiency
1
25
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
3
Yards / Game
11
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
3
EPA
EPA / Play
4
8
EPA / Pass
7
6
EPA / Rush
3
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
5
Interceptions / Game
8
19
Fumbles / Game
26
14
Turnover EPA / Game
22
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
7
4th Down Efficiency
9
2
RZ Efficiency
1
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U