SEASeahawks
3-1
20
TBD
Gillette Stadium
50°F
12 mph
30
NEPatriots
4-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
50°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
6
3
11
20
Patriots
10
10
0
10
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
445
362
Total Plays
74
64
Yards / Play
6.0
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.18
Passing Yards
341
224
Comp/Att
27/50(54%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.21
Rushing Yards
102
138
Rush Attempts
21
33
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.07
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
18
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
47%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
20%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.13
-5.68
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-8
-7
Sack EPA
-3.17
-1.47
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-4.77
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
2
Yards / Game
7
9
Passing Yards / Game
9
16
Rushing Yards / Game
9
5
EPA
EPA / Play
11
9
EPA / Pass
10
8
EPA / Rush
12
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
28
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
6
2
Turnover EPA / Game
22
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
22
4th Down Efficiency
20
14
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Patriots Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
22
Yards / Game
9
26
Passing Yards / Game
12
22
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22
EPA
EPA / Play
4
22
EPA / Pass
5
16
EPA / Rush
10
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
20
Interceptions / Game
6
4
Fumbles / Game
20
14
Turnover EPA / Game
28
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
29
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
7
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U