SEASeahawks
4-2
3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
66°F
5 mph
33
OAKRaiders
3-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
66°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
0
3
3
Raiders
3
7
3
20
33
Spread
-2
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
162
545
Total Plays
59
68
Yards / Play
2.7
8.0
EPA / Play
-0.30
+0.20
Passing Yards
115
306
Comp/Att
13/32(41%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
11.3
EPA / Pass
-0.36
+0.59
Rushing Yards
47
239
Rush Attempts
19
39
Yards / Rush
2.5
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.43
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
18
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
6%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.33
--
Sacks
8
2
Sack Yards
-45
-4
Sack EPA
-9.86
-2.08
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
55
105
Penalty EPA
-9.26
-11.98
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+23
Home nfelo
1,387
Away nfelo
1,457
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.1
Home QB Adjustment
+6.1
Away QB Adjustment
-2.0
Market Regression
+29.3
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.0
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
20
Yards / Game
26
11
Passing Yards / Game
25
9
Rushing Yards / Game
31
29
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
24
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
20
26
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
6
4th Down Efficiency
29
2
RZ Efficiency
26
17
Raiders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
27
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
24
Rushing Yards / Game
2
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
22
29
EPA / Rush
5
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
17
Interceptions / Game
16
27
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
26
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
18
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U