SEASeahawks
1-0
3
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
88°F
3 mph
9
LARRams
0-1
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
88°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
0
3
Rams
3
3
0
3
9
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
283
Total Plays
61
58
Yards / Play
5.0
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.02
Passing Yards
239
219
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.05
Rushing Yards
67
64
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
31%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.18
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-15
-20
Sack EPA
-2.17
-5.58
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
114
78
Penalty EPA
-10.43
-8.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Rams+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-80
Home nfelo
1,510
Away nfelo
1,612
Home Field
+51.9
Base HFA
+57.8
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-30.4
Home QB Adjustment
-24.7
Away QB Adjustment
+5.7
Market Regression
+8.7
Final Difference
-114.0
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-24.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
22
Yards / Game
15
9
Passing Yards / Game
4
13
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
6
20
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
10
4th Down Efficiency
21
32
RZ Efficiency
26
31
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
2
Yards / Game
32
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
32
16
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
6
Interceptions / Game
30
25
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
12
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
24
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
2-8
O/U