SEASeahawks
2-1
3
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
020
LARRams
1-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
0
3
Rams
7
3
7
3
20
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
349
Total Plays
65
73
Yards / Play
4.0
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.41
-0.14
Passing Yards
193
261
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
23/41(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.43
-0.12
Rushing Yards
64
88
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.08
-6.34
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-26
-28
Sack EPA
-9.28
-7.61
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
49
41
Penalty EPA
-3.73
-0.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-23
Home nfelo
1,337
Away nfelo
1,430
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+12.4
Home QB Adjustment
+12.8
Away QB Adjustment
+0.4
Market Regression
-21.1
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+0.4
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+12.8
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
26
18
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
31
17
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
24
7
EPA / Rush
24
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
18
Interceptions / Game
20
19
Fumbles / Game
12
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
3
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
27
30
Passing Yards / Game
16
24
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
26
29
EPA / Rush
29
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
17
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
19
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
11
7
RZ Efficiency
31
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Rams
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U