SEASeahawks
2-1
13
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
019
LARRams
1-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
0
3
3
13
Rams
3
10
3
3
19
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
286
Total Plays
61
60
Yards / Play
5.2
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.01
Passing Yards
140
211
Comp/Att
17/25(68%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.11
Rushing Yards
179
75
Rush Attempts
34
27
Yards / Rush
5.3
2.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
15
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
22%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
9
13
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.53
-4.65
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-20
-12
Sack EPA
-2.38
-2.97
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
55
37
Penalty EPA
+1.00
-3.98
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-81
Home nfelo
1,335
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-10.5
Home QB Adjustment
-9.5
Away QB Adjustment
+1.0
Market Regression
-16.8
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.0
Value
Ptile
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-9.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
14
Yards / Game
14
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
13
EPA / Pass
4
9
EPA / Rush
5
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
5
11
Fumbles / Game
22
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
18
5
EPA / Rush
22
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
18
Interceptions / Game
12
6
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
19
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U