SEASeahawks
3-2
26
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
028
LARRams
1-4
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
3
7
13
26
Rams
7
8
0
7
22
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
463
275
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
6.7
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.13
Passing Yards
292
--
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
18/21(86%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.43
Rushing Yards
171
102
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
5.9
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
50%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-4.64
--
Penalties
10
2
Penalty Yards
86
--
Penalty EPA
-9.79
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-173
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,648
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-78.0
Home QB Adjustment
-70.1
Away QB Adjustment
+7.9
Market Regression
-15.6
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+7.9
A. Davis
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-70.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
8
18
Passing Yards / Game
13
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
8
6
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
1
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
8
Interceptions / Game
5
19
Fumbles / Game
9
10
Turnover EPA / Game
31
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
15
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
27
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
4
EPA
EPA / Play
28
4
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
29
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
12
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
22
15
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U