SEASeahawks
6-1
14
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
09
LARRams
3-4
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
7
0
14
Rams
3
0
3
3
9
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
135
339
Total Plays
40
71
Yards / Play
3.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.22
Passing Yards
91
139
Comp/Att
10/18(56%)
15/31(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.34
-0.60
Rushing Yards
44
200
Rush Attempts
15
37
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.29
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
23
Passing 1st downs
4
7
Rushing 1st downs
1
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
18%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-10.68
Sacks
7
3
Sack Yards
-48
-19
Sack EPA
-11.35
-5.01
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
83
53
Penalty EPA
-1.88
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.0%
Model87.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-303
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,654
Home Field
+11.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-83.8
Home QB Adjustment
-74.4
Away QB Adjustment
+9.4
Market Regression
-59.2
Final Difference
-330.2
Model Spread
+14.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+9.4
K. Clemens
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-74.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
22
15
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
9
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
4
17
EPA / Rush
21
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
24
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
21
1
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
22
RZ Efficiency
14
10
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
5
Rushing Yards / Game
19
7
EPA
EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
23
1
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
8
1
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
27
7
RZ Efficiency
26
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U