SEASeahawks
9-7
30
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
025
LARRams
10-6
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
7
6
30
Rams
3
10
3
9
25
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
403
Total Plays
54
66
Yards / Play
6.2
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.12
Passing Yards
210
319
Comp/Att
20/28(71%)
27/42(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.35
+0.05
Rushing Yards
126
84
Rush Attempts
24
21
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
55%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.51
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-15
Sack EPA
-3.50
-5.89
Penalties
3
2
Penalty Yards
23
10
Penalty EPA
-2.54
-1.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model65.9%
Spread Pick
Rams+7.5
Expected Value
+17.4%
Cover Probability
61.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+42
Home nfelo
1,585
Away nfelo
1,535
Home Field
+21.4
Base HFA
+38.9
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-28.6
Home QB Adjustment
-35.4
Away QB Adjustment
-6.8
Market Regression
-106.1
Final Difference
-114.5
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-6.8
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
-35.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
28
EPA
EPA / Play
20
20
EPA / Pass
21
13
EPA / Rush
18
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
6
25
Turnover EPA / Game
10
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
18
4th Down Efficiency
21
6
RZ Efficiency
14
4
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
13
Yards / Game
14
13
Passing Yards / Game
31
9
Rushing Yards / Game
23
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
10
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
27
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
5
Interceptions / Game
7
13
Fumbles / Game
11
19
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
6
RZ Efficiency
25
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U