SEASeahawks
5-2
3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
6 mph
37
BALRavens
6-2
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
0
3
Ravens
0
17
13
7
37
Spread
-6
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
151
515
Total Plays
47
75
Yards / Play
3.2
6.9
EPA / Play
-0.52
+0.19
Passing Yards
123
217
Comp/Att
13/28(46%)
26/33(79%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.52
-0.04
Rushing Yards
28
298
Rush Attempts
15
41
Yards / Rush
1.9
7.3
EPA / Rush
-0.39
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
6
29
Passing 1st downs
5
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
16
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
8%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.64
-8.26
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-34
-8
Sack EPA
-7.36
-5.60
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
29
11
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-1.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model69.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+166
Home nfelo
1,588
Away nfelo
1,529
Home Field
+81.9
Base HFA
+43.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.2
Time Adj
+23.3
Net QB Adjustment
+25.0
Home QB Adjustment
+19.3
Away QB Adjustment
-5.7
Market Regression
+9.0
Final Difference
141.4
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-5.7
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+19.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
22
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
15
Rushing Yards / Game
27
12
EPA
EPA / Play
9
2
EPA / Pass
12
2
EPA / Rush
12
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
13
Interceptions / Game
15
10
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
31
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
30
1
RZ Efficiency
26
2
Ravens Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
24
Yards / Game
6
30
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
1
31
EPA
EPA / Play
6
29
EPA / Pass
9
27
EPA / Rush
4
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
23
Interceptions / Game
1
19
Fumbles / Game
30
13
Turnover EPA / Game
18
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
31
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
7
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U