SEASeahawks
0-1
31
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
79°F
5 mph
17
PITSteelers
1-0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
79°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
0
7
11
25
Steelers
6
8
0
3
17
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
269
Total Plays
64
60
Yards / Play
6.2
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.26
Passing Yards
278
197
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.22
Rushing Yards
117
72
Rush Attempts
29
21
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
13
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.79
-7.34
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-17
-20
Sack EPA
-2.98
-3.25
Penalties
2
2
Penalty Yards
10
--
Penalty EPA
-2.25
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,492
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+72.4
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.4
Time Adj
+20.6
Net QB Adjustment
+29.8
Home QB Adjustment
+21.1
Away QB Adjustment
-8.8
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.8
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+21.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
21
Yards / Game
16
28
Passing Yards / Game
22
32
Rushing Yards / Game
18
19
EPA
EPA / Play
11
23
EPA / Pass
7
22
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
13
Interceptions / Game
9
4
Fumbles / Game
25
2
Turnover EPA / Game
10
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
23
4th Down Efficiency
28
21
RZ Efficiency
14
16
Steelers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
29
13
Passing Yards / Game
26
23
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
14
16
EPA / Rush
21
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
24
Interceptions / Game
17
2
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Steelers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U