SEASeahawks
5-7
7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
034
HOUTexans
5-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
0
0
7
Texans
17
7
4
0
28
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
450
Total Plays
63
67
Yards / Play
4.5
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.48
-0.04
Passing Yards
220
--
Comp/Att
24/36(67%)
29/39(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.34
Rushing Yards
62
85
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.71
-0.45
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
7%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.79
-11.45
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-27
--
Sack EPA
-6.46
--
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
63
35
Penalty EPA
-6.49
-5.98
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+179
Home nfelo
1,507
Away nfelo
1,448
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+13.4
Home QB Adjustment
+12.9
Away QB Adjustment
-0.5
Market Regression
+29.6
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
M. Schaub
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+12.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
16
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
7
16
Rushing Yards / Game
26
10
EPA
EPA / Play
25
16
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
31
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
24
21
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
7
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
20
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
30
30
Texans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
5
23
Passing Yards / Game
10
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
14
EPA
EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
6
28
EPA / Rush
29
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
11
Interceptions / Game
18
22
Fumbles / Game
25
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
15
RZ Efficiency
12
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U