SEASeahawks
1-1
27
TBD
Nissan Stadium
88°F
4 mph
33
TENTitans
1-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
88°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
7
13
27
Titans
0
9
21
3
33
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
433
420
Total Plays
73
67
Yards / Play
5.9
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.15
Passing Yards
364
--
Comp/Att
29/50(58%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.07
Rushing Yards
69
195
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
20
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.58
--
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
82
45
Penalty EPA
-10.87
-3.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+16
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,577
Home Field
+77.4
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.8
Home QB Adjustment
+6.3
Away QB Adjustment
-9.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-9.6
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
19
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4
EPA
EPA / Play
19
23
EPA / Pass
13
23
EPA / Rush
24
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
7
17
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
18
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
12
17
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
9
Yards / Game
21
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
9
20
EPA
EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
10
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
10
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
16
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U