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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ titans week 3, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
1-1
27
TBD
Nissan Stadium
88°F
4 mph
33
TENTitans
1-1
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
88°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
7
7
13
27
Titans
0
9
21
3
33

Spread

TEN logo
-2.5

Total

OVER
42

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
433
420
Total Plays
73
67
Yards / Play
5.9
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.15
Passing Yards
364
--
Comp/Att
29/50(58%)
20/32(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.07
Rushing Yards
69
195
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
20
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.58
--
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
82
45
Penalty EPA
-10.87
-3.82

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+22
Home nfelo
1,502
Away nfelo
1,574
Home Field
+78.5
Base HFA
+58.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.8
Home QB Adjustment
+6.3
Away QB Adjustment
-9.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-9.6
Value
Ptile
11/27
-9.3
3
12/04
1.5
60
12/11
-11.2
1
12/15
1.2
58
12/24
4.7
82
01/01
0.9
56
01/07
-0.2
47
01/14
-1.9
35
09/10
-4.1
24
09/17
-1.7
40
M. Mariota headshot

M. Mariota

Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
Value
Ptile
10/27
6.2
87
11/06
6.3
88
11/13
7.5
91
11/20
1.2
58
11/27
5.9
86
12/11
-5.5
13
12/18
-3.3
24
12/24
-6.1
11
09/10
3.5
78
09/17
-0.6
47

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Seahawks logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
12
19
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4

EPA

EPA / Play
19
23
EPA / Pass
13
23
EPA / Rush
24
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
7
17
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
18
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
12
17
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Titans logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
20
9
Yards / Game
21
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
9
20

EPA

EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
10
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
10
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
16
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/27
-9
L
L
U
12/04
33
W
W
O
12/11
-28
L
L
O
12/15
21
W
W
U
12/24
-3
L
L
O
01/01
2
W
L
O
01/07
20
W
W
U
01/14
-16
L
L
O
09/10
-8
L
L
U
09/17
3
W
L
U
TEN logo

Titans

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/06
-8
L
L
O
11/13
22
W
W
O
11/20
-7
L
L
U
11/27
6
W
L
O
12/11
3
W
W
U
12/18
2
W
W
U
12/24
-21
L
L
O
01/01
7
W
W
U
09/10
-10
L
L
U
09/17
21
W
W
O