SEASeahawks
7-3
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
0TENTitans
1-9
TBD
Nissan Stadium
70°F
0Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-13.5
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model83.4%
Spread Pick
Titans+13.5
Expected Value
+3.1%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-246
Home nfelo
1,312
Away nfelo
1,608
Home Field
+72.8
Base HFA
+42.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.9
Time Adj
+15.3
Net QB Adjustment
-23.1
Home QB Adjustment
-18.4
Away QB Adjustment
+4.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-280.3
Model Spread
+11.5
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
C. Ward
Proj. Value
-3.5
Team Elo Adj
-18.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
30
Yards / Game
6
24
Passing Yards / Game
31
22
Rushing Yards / Game
14
26
EPA
EPA / Play
11
26
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
29
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
1
Interceptions / Game
28
23
Fumbles / Game
29
24
Turnover EPA / Game
1
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
5
32
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
6
Yards / Game
32
9
Passing Yards / Game
24
23
Rushing Yards / Game
32
6
EPA
EPA / Play
31
2
EPA / Pass
31
13
EPA / Rush
31
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
32
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
32
11
Turnover EPA / Game
13
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
7
4th Down Efficiency
31
12
RZ Efficiency
29
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Titans
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U