SEASeahawks
6-5
38
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
37°F
3 mph
7
MINVikings
8-3
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
37°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
14
14
3
38
Vikings
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
433
125
Total Plays
66
48
Yards / Play
6.6
2.6
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.27
Passing Yards
260
94
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.75
-0.56
Rushing Yards
173
31
Rush Attempts
36
16
Yards / Rush
4.8
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
9
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
1
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
69%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
75%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-4.87
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-14
-24
Sack EPA
-1.83
-6.06
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
65
95
Penalty EPA
-8.46
-14.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
Vikings+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-10
Home nfelo
1,543
Away nfelo
1,626
Home Field
+82.4
Base HFA
+60.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.7
Net QB Adjustment
-10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+1.8
Away QB Adjustment
+12.2
Market Regression
-30.2
Final Difference
-46.2
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
18
26
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17
EPA
EPA / Play
3
12
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
12
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
6
Interceptions / Game
7
16
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
10
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
3
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
4
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
1-8-1
O/U