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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ vikings week 13, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
6-5
38
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
37°F
3 mph
7
MINVikings
8-3
MIN logo
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
37°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
14
14
3
38
Vikings
0
0
7
0
7

Spread

SEA logo
-3

Total

OVER
43

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo
Total Yards
433
125
Total Plays
66
48
Yards / Play
6.6
2.6
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.27
Passing Yards
260
94
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.75
-0.56
Rushing Yards
173
31
Rush Attempts
36
16
Yards / Rush
4.8
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo
1st Downs
25
9
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
1
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
69%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
75%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.57
-4.87
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-14
-24
Sack EPA
-1.83
-6.06
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
65
95
Penalty EPA
-8.46
-14.06

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model56.4%
Spread Pick
MIN logo
Vikings+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-6
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,626
Home Field
+83.2
Base HFA
+61.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.9
Net QB Adjustment
-10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+1.8
Away QB Adjustment
+12.2
Market Regression
-28.4
Final Difference
-44.4
Model Spread
+2.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
Value
Ptile
09/20
4.3
80
09/27
-1.2
42
10/05
-0.1
50
10/11
-3.6
25
10/18
1.3
60
10/22
-6.0
11
11/01
0.7
55
11/15
-1.1
43
11/22
6.8
90
11/29
9.7
96
T. Bridgewater headshot

T. Bridgewater

Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
Value
Ptile
09/20
2.6
70
09/27
-6.3
10
10/04
-1.4
41
10/18
-5.8
12
10/25
1.9
64
11/01
-2.6
31
11/08
-0.7
47
11/15
-3.8
23
11/22
1.1
58
11/29
-2.8
30

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Seahawks logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
18
26
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17

EPA

EPA / Play
3
12
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
12
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
6
Interceptions / Game
7
16
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
10
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Vikings logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
3

EPA

EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
4
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
25
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/20
-10
L
L
U
09/27
26
W
W
U
10/05
3
W
L
U
10/11
-3
L
P
O
10/18
-4
L
L
O
10/22
17
W
W
U
11/01
1
W
L
U
11/15
-7
L
L
O
11/22
16
W
W
O
11/29
9
W
W
O
MIN logo

Vikings

8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
1-8-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/20
10
W
W
U
09/27
17
W
W
U
10/04
-3
L
W
U
10/18
6
W
W
U
10/25
9
W
W
O
11/01
3
W
W
U
11/08
3
W
W
U
11/15
16
W
W
P
11/22
-17
L
L
U
11/29
10
W
W
U