SEASeahawks
10-6
10
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
-6°F
12 mph
9
MINVikings
11-5
TBD
TCF Bank Stadium
-6°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
0
10
10
Vikings
3
0
6
0
9
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
226
183
Total Plays
56
56
Yards / Play
4.0
3.3
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.31
Passing Yards
129
125
Comp/Att
13/26(50%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.19
-0.35
Rushing Yards
97
58
Rush Attempts
28
29
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.0
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
14
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
36%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.05
-4.25
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-21
Sack EPA
-2.86
-5.13
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-5.60
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model62.3%
Spread Pick
Vikings+4.5
Expected Value
+3.1%
Cover Probability
54.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-35
Home nfelo
1,572
Away nfelo
1,652
Home Field
+79.5
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.0
Net QB Adjustment
-31.9
Home QB Adjustment
-0.8
Away QB Adjustment
+31.1
Market Regression
+4.2
Final Difference
-87.5
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+31.1
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
18
26
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17
EPA
EPA / Play
3
12
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
12
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
6
Interceptions / Game
7
16
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
10
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
3
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
4
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
7
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Vikings
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U