PITSteelers
4-3
27
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
25 mph
6
SF49ers
3-4
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
25 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
14
3
3
7
27
49ers
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
313
Total Plays
58
65
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.28
Passing Yards
130
90
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
12/32(38%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
2.8
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.59
Rushing Yards
141
223
Rush Attempts
31
34
Yards / Rush
4.5
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
7
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.91
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-9
-3
Sack EPA
-1.08
-0.89
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
33
95
Penalty EPA
-1.32
-10.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
30
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
29
Rushing Yards / Game
9
14
EPA
EPA / Play
13
30
EPA / Pass
22
31
EPA / Rush
7
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
23
Interceptions / Game
16
25
Fumbles / Game
2
29
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
24
4th Down Efficiency
27
30
RZ Efficiency
8
30
49ers Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
13
Yards / Game
10
9
Passing Yards / Game
22
12
Rushing Yards / Game
2
27
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
21
11
EPA / Rush
2
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
19
Interceptions / Game
20
23
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
18
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
4
4th Down Efficiency
23
20
RZ Efficiency
17
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
4-3
SU
4-3
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
49ers
3-4
SU
2-5
ATS
0-0-7
O/U