PIT logo
PIT
0-1
10
20
CIN
0-1
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
62°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
7
0
0
10
Bengals
7
3
7
3
20

Spread

CIN logo
-6.5

Total

UNDER
40

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
278
407
Total Plays
55
79
Yards / Play
5.1
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.05
Passing Yards
234
--
Comp/Att
20/37(54%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.09
Rushing Yards
44
127
Rush Attempts
16
34
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.36
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.29
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.45
--
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
29
84
Penalty EPA
-3.19
-8.19

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
CIN logo
CINFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.0

Win Probability

Market71.0%
Model68.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+108
Home nfelo
1,546
Away nfelo
1,495
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.6
Home QB Adjustment
-2.2
Away QB Adjustment
-3.8
Market Regression
+2.8
Final Difference
137.3
Model Spread
-6.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Steelers logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
16
5
Yards / Game
20
4
Passing Yards / Game
14
1
Rushing Yards / Game
27
8

EPA

EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
9
3
EPA / Rush
29
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
29
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
17
15
Turnover EPA / Game
16
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
2
4th Down Efficiency
9
5
RZ Efficiency
20
13
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Bengals logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
8
13
Yards / Game
9
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
21

EPA

EPA / Play
14
13
EPA / Pass
14
10
EPA / Rush
20
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
14
Interceptions / Game
26
29
Fumbles / Game
24
16
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
20
4th Down Efficiency
13
17
RZ Efficiency
1
19