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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. steelers @ bengals week 3, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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PIT logo
PITSteelers
1-1
17
TBD
Paycor Stadium
73°F
6 mph
10
CINBengals
0-2
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
73°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
7
7
3
17
Bengals
0
0
3
7
10

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
376
182
Total Plays
73
44
Yards / Play
5.2
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.10
Passing Yards
238
125
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
16/24(67%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.32
-0.26
Rushing Yards
138
57
Rush Attempts
38
16
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
22
11
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.32
-3.97
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-2
-32
Sack EPA
-0.78
-6.51
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
53
49
Penalty EPA
-5.53
-4.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Steelers logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
19
28
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
31
Rushing Yards / Game
30
24

EPA

EPA / Play
27
31
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
32
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
15
Interceptions / Game
15
20
Fumbles / Game
16
18
Turnover EPA / Game
12
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
16
29
RZ Efficiency
23
22
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Bengals logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
13
15
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
8
17
Rushing Yards / Game
12
13

EPA

EPA / Play
7
9
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
11
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
4
Interceptions / Game
11
20
Fumbles / Game
3
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
14
RZ Efficiency
5
17

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PIT logo

Steelers

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/24
8
W
L
P
12/01
2
W
L
P
12/08
-18
L
L
P
12/15
16
W
W
P
12/23
10
W
W
P
12/29
3
W
L
P
01/05
3
W
L
P
01/11
-3
L
W
P
09/07
19
W
W
P
09/14
-21
L
L
P
CIN logo

Bengals

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
-11
L
L
P
11/17
-7
L
L
P
11/24
-8
L
W
P
12/01
-4
L
L
P
12/08
-21
L
L
P
12/15
-14
L
L
P
12/22
7
W
W
P
12/29
-18
L
L
P
09/07
-20
L
L
P
09/14
-3
L
W
P