PITSteelers
12-2
23
TBD
Paycor Stadium
20°F
10 mph
26
CINBengals
4-10
TBD
Paycor Stadium
20°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Steelers
14
3
6
0
0
23
Bengals
0
4
0
13
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
313
544
Total Plays
65
99
Yards / Play
4.8
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.09
Passing Yards
240
403
Comp/Att
19/35(54%)
35/68(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.05
Rushing Yards
73
141
Rush Attempts
28
29
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.55
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
32
Passing 1st downs
10
22
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
35%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
17
18
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
3
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-18.19
-12.75
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-8
Sack EPA
-3.06
-3.11
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
38
65
Penalty EPA
-6.18
-5.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
13
Yards / Game
3
9
Passing Yards / Game
17
7
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
6
EPA / Pass
5
11
EPA / Rush
4
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
25
Interceptions / Game
9
25
Fumbles / Game
4
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
28
8
Bengals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
19
1
EPA
EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
24
2
EPA / Rush
20
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
20
Interceptions / Game
31
16
Fumbles / Game
8
17
Turnover EPA / Game
12
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
5
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
24
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U