PITSteelers
2-2
21
TBD
New Era Field
65°F
10 mph
24
BUFBills
3-1
TBD
New Era Field
65°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
7
0
7
21
Bills
7
10
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
365
Total Plays
53
66
Yards / Play
4.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.13
Passing Yards
207
254
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.40
Rushing Yards
48
111
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
2.1
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.26
-4.78
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-7
Sack EPA
-2.62
-2.71
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
20
--
Penalty EPA
-0.39
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
3
Yards / Game
21
1
Passing Yards / Game
16
1
Rushing Yards / Game
9
5
EPA
EPA / Play
13
5
EPA / Pass
22
3
EPA / Rush
7
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
16
27
Fumbles / Game
2
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
2
4th Down Efficiency
27
9
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Bills Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
13
Yards / Game
15
9
Passing Yards / Game
23
12
Rushing Yards / Game
7
27
EPA
EPA / Play
12
17
EPA / Pass
9
11
EPA / Rush
18
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
19
Interceptions / Game
8
23
Fumbles / Game
10
10
Turnover EPA / Game
21
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
20
RZ Efficiency
16
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
2-2
SU
2-2
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Bills
3-1
SU
3-1
ATS
0-0-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U