PITSteelers
-
21
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
63°F
11 mph
18
CLEBrowns
-
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
63°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
1
7
7
0
15
Browns
7
0
3
8
18
Spread
+10
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
290
239
Total Plays
54
63
Yards / Play
5.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.13
Passing Yards
255
180
Comp/Att
24/36(67%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.08
Rushing Yards
35
59
Rush Attempts
17
26
Yards / Rush
2.1
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.44
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
38%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.30
-5.31
Sacks
1
7
Sack Yards
-8
-42
Sack EPA
-1.77
-6.65
Penalties
13
4
Penalty Yards
143
61
Penalty EPA
-16.17
-6.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model80.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-224
Home nfelo
1,369
Away nfelo
1,615
Home Field
+31.5
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-9.5
Home QB Adjustment
-6.9
Away QB Adjustment
+2.6
Market Regression
-19.0
Final Difference
-241.9
Model Spread
+10.0
Quarterbacks
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.6
D. Kizer
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
31
Yards / Game
3
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
7
EPA
EPA / Play
5
27
EPA / Pass
6
27
EPA / Rush
19
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
24
31
Fumbles / Game
3
18
Turnover EPA / Game
18
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
23
4th Down Efficiency
13
18
RZ Efficiency
18
32
Browns Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
11
Yards / Game
24
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
13
Rushing Yards / Game
18
13
EPA
EPA / Play
31
17
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
28
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
1
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
24
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U