PITSteelers
5-8
19
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
29°F
4 mph
35
KCChiefs
8-5
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
29°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
10
3
0
6
19
Chiefs
7
8
7
7
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
363
Total Plays
76
54
Yards / Play
4.9
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.20
Passing Yards
269
145
Comp/Att
23/47(49%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.11
+0.09
Rushing Yards
107
218
Rush Attempts
28
32
Yards / Rush
3.8
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.46
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-9
-4
Sack EPA
-2.45
-1.68
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
--
60
Penalty EPA
--
-5.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
14
Yards / Game
21
14
Passing Yards / Game
16
13
Rushing Yards / Game
9
9
EPA
EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
22
5
EPA / Rush
7
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
28
Interceptions / Game
16
5
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
27
17
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Chiefs Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
13
Yards / Game
11
9
Passing Yards / Game
11
12
Rushing Yards / Game
4
27
EPA
EPA / Play
16
17
EPA / Pass
7
11
EPA / Rush
14
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
5
23
Fumbles / Game
5
10
Turnover EPA / Game
27
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
4
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U