PITSteelers
5-2
23
TBD
FedExField
51°F
06
WASCommanders
6-2
TBD
FedExField
51°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
10
6
7
23
Commanders
6
0
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
224
221
Total Plays
61
65
Yards / Play
3.7
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.39
Passing Yards
160
161
Comp/Att
12/27(44%)
24/43(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.57
Rushing Yards
64
60
Rush Attempts
29
15
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
13
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
41%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.68
-7.82
Sacks
5
7
Sack Yards
-19
-45
Sack EPA
-5.79
-10.72
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
41
78
Penalty EPA
-8.94
-5.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
22
5
Passing Yards / Game
16
5
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8
EPA
EPA / Play
19
8
EPA / Pass
13
13
EPA / Rush
28
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
10
Interceptions / Game
14
18
Fumbles / Game
15
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
7
4th Down Efficiency
32
26
RZ Efficiency
14
21
Commanders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
2
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
13
15
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1
EPA
EPA / Play
26
2
EPA / Pass
20
2
EPA / Rush
16
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
4
Interceptions / Game
1
6
Fumbles / Game
18
19
Turnover EPA / Game
28
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
1
4th Down Efficiency
5
10
RZ Efficiency
23
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U