PITSteelers
7-0
24
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
019
DALCowboys
2-6
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
9
0
15
24
Cowboys
3
10
6
0
19
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
364
Total Plays
64
71
Yards / Play
5.5
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.07
Passing Yards
--
220
Comp/Att
31/46(67%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.24
Rushing Yards
46
144
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.45
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
38%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.23
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-23
Sack EPA
--
-5.39
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
16
70
Penalty EPA
+2.77
-4.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.0%
Model87.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-327
Home nfelo
1,461
Away nfelo
1,610
Home Field
+9.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
-187.3
Home QB Adjustment
-177.7
Away QB Adjustment
+9.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-330.2
Model Spread
+14.0
Quarterbacks
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+9.6
G. Gilbert
Proj. Value
-5.0
Team Elo Adj
-177.7
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
28
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
31
16
Rushing Yards / Game
32
31
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
32
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
7
Interceptions / Game
25
23
Fumbles / Game
9
2
Turnover EPA / Game
17
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
27
4th Down Efficiency
11
11
RZ Efficiency
8
20
Cowboys Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
13
3
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
17
13
EPA
EPA / Play
24
2
EPA / Pass
25
2
EPA / Rush
18
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
31
11
Turnover EPA / Game
4
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Cowboys
3-7
SU
1-9
ATS
5-5
O/U