PITSteelers
3-1
26
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
73°F
10 mph
21
JAXJaguars
2-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
73°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
13
0
6
26
Jaguars
8
0
0
7
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
213
Total Plays
71
54
Yards / Play
5.8
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.03
Passing Yards
286
175
Comp/Att
26/42(62%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.22
Rushing Yards
129
38
Rush Attempts
26
19
Yards / Rush
5.0
2.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
14
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
47%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.70
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-25
Sack EPA
-5.00
-2.84
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
129
89
Penalty EPA
-10.00
-11.63
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
21
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
16
14
Rushing Yards / Game
23
14
EPA
EPA / Play
19
26
EPA / Pass
13
30
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
8
Interceptions / Game
14
18
Fumbles / Game
15
32
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
32
10
RZ Efficiency
14
25
Jaguars Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
2
Yards / Game
20
1
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
1
EPA
EPA / Play
18
2
EPA / Pass
19
2
EPA / Rush
6
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
11
6
Fumbles / Game
20
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U