PITSteelers
10-1
17
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
016
JAXJaguars
6-5
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
56°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
7
7
0
3
17
Jaguars
7
0
6
3
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
316
359
Total Plays
45
63
Yards / Play
7.0
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.15
Passing Yards
196
259
Comp/Att
14/17(82%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
11.5
9.6
EPA / Pass
+0.57
+0.42
Rushing Yards
120
100
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
4.8
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-25
-9
Sack EPA
-5.09
-2.61
Penalties
11
3
Penalty Yards
82
25
Penalty EPA
-9.20
-4.02
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
7
Yards / Game
13
11
Passing Yards / Game
26
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
11
EPA
EPA / Play
12
14
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
14
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
9
10
Turnover EPA / Game
18
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Jaguars Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
6
Yards / Game
21
1
Passing Yards / Game
18
6
Rushing Yards / Game
15
2
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
18
3
EPA / Rush
19
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
21
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
5
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
31
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U