PITSteelers
1-1
37
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
79°F
7 mph
19
CARPanthers
2-0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
79°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
6
14
14
37
Panthers
3
0
3
13
19
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
349
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
7.0
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.42
+0.09
Passing Yards
190
307
Comp/Att
22/30(73%)
29/42(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.12
Rushing Yards
264
42
Rush Attempts
34
10
Yards / Rush
7.8
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
27%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
75%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+7.79
-4.41
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-23
Sack EPA
-1.14
-7.47
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
91
105
Penalty EPA
-9.10
-10.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model70.9%
Spread Pick
Panthers-3.5
Expected Value
+11.3%
Cover Probability
58.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+208
Home nfelo
1,555
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+82.2
Home QB Adjustment
+82.6
Away QB Adjustment
+0.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
154.8
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+82.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
2
6
Passing Yards / Game
6
19
Rushing Yards / Game
17
11
EPA
EPA / Play
4
16
EPA / Pass
3
14
EPA / Rush
19
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
14
Interceptions / Game
7
15
Fumbles / Game
21
4
Turnover EPA / Game
21
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
20
29
Panthers Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
21
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
7
6
EPA
EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
19
25
EPA / Rush
11
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
14
26
Fumbles / Game
14
14
Turnover EPA / Game
12
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
9
4th Down Efficiency
10
32
RZ Efficiency
25
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Panthers
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
1-9
O/U