PITSteelers
8-3
33
TBD
Gillette Stadium
34°F
3 mph
10
NEPatriots
7-4
TBD
Gillette Stadium
34°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
7
13
10
33
Patriots
7
3
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
267
Total Plays
68
64
Yards / Play
4.9
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.42
Passing Yards
172
145
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
19/39(49%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.80
Rushing Yards
161
122
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
4.7
6.1
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
50%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-4.36
-28.43
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-7
-24
Sack EPA
-1.46
-13.92
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
88
45
Penalty EPA
-9.98
-1.76
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
8
Yards / Game
22
10
Passing Yards / Game
16
12
Rushing Yards / Game
23
16
EPA
EPA / Play
19
20
EPA / Pass
13
27
EPA / Rush
28
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
5
Interceptions / Game
14
15
Fumbles / Game
15
22
Turnover EPA / Game
25
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
27
4th Down Efficiency
32
2
RZ Efficiency
14
32
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
5
1
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
5
1
EPA
EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
9
2
EPA / Rush
1
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
4
Interceptions / Game
4
6
Fumbles / Game
12
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
1
4th Down Efficiency
2
10
RZ Efficiency
18
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U