PITSteelers
9-3
13
TBD
Gillette Stadium
34°F
2 mph
34
NEPatriots
12-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
34°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
10
0
0
13
Patriots
7
10
14
3
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
421
Total Plays
67
55
Yards / Play
5.2
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.42
Passing Yards
168
--
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
32/46(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
--
EPA / Pass
-0.00
+0.46
Rushing Yards
181
22
Rush Attempts
32
9
Yards / Rush
5.7
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
36%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
+4.19
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-3.73
--
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
49
20
Penalty EPA
-3.09
-2.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
1
Yards / Game
16
5
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
5
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
6
3
EPA / Rush
13
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
24
Interceptions / Game
13
6
Fumbles / Game
6
17
Turnover EPA / Game
26
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
10
25
RZ Efficiency
7
20
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
5
Yards / Game
1
1
Passing Yards / Game
8
2
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5
EPA
EPA / Play
1
9
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
2
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
5
Interceptions / Game
3
29
Fumbles / Game
3
10
Turnover EPA / Game
32
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
5
RZ Efficiency
2
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
10-0
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U