nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. steelers @ raiders week 8, 2013

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PIT logo
PITSteelers
2-4
18
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
56°F
17 mph
21
OAKRaiders
2-4
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
56°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
3
0
15
18
Raiders
14
7
0
0
21

Spread

OAK logo
+2.5

Total

UNDER
40

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
278
279
Total Plays
70
59
Yards / Play
4.0
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.20
Passing Yards
241
82
Comp/Att
29/45(64%)
10/19(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.63
Rushing Yards
37
197
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
1.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
20
13
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
27%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.24
-10.96
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-34
-6
Sack EPA
-6.13
-2.62
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
12
39
Penalty EPA
-1.80
-4.67

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-33
Home nfelo
1,380
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+91.6
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-5.6
Home QB Adjustment
-0.7
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
+22.1
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5

Quarterbacks

B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
Value
Ptile
12/09
2.4
64
12/16
0.1
51
12/23
-6.6
11
12/30
0.3
51
09/08
-5.5
17
09/16
-1.6
42
09/22
2.6
68
09/29
0.9
56
10/13
3.2
72
10/20
0.5
54
T. Pryor headshot

T. Pryor

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-0.7
Value
Ptile
12/30
2.6
66
09/08
4.6
82
09/15
-2.9
32
09/23
4.3
80
10/06
0.6
54
10/13
-10.7
3

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Steelers logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
16
29
Yards / Game
20
21
Passing Yards / Game
14
30
Rushing Yards / Game
27
11

EPA

EPA / Play
18
26
EPA / Pass
9
32
EPA / Rush
29
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
11
Interceptions / Game
13
31
Fumbles / Game
17
11
Turnover EPA / Game
16
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
28
4th Down Efficiency
9
6
RZ Efficiency
20
22
Raiders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Raiders logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
23
13
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
11
21

EPA

EPA / Play
24
13
EPA / Pass
24
10
EPA / Rush
16
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
14
Interceptions / Game
24
29
Fumbles / Game
27
16
Turnover EPA / Game
9
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
17
RZ Efficiency
5
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PIT logo

Steelers

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-10
L
L
O
12/16
-3
L
L
O
12/23
-3
L
L
U
12/30
14
W
W
U
09/08
-7
L
L
U
09/16
-10
L
L
U
09/22
-17
L
L
O
09/29
-7
L
L
O
10/13
13
W
W
U
10/20
3
W
W
U
OAK logo

Raiders

3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/06
-13
L
L
U
12/16
15
W
W
U
12/23
-11
L
L
U
12/30
-3
L
W
O
09/08
-4
L
W
U
09/15
10
W
W
U
09/23
-16
L
P
O
09/29
-10
L
L
U
10/06
10
W
W
U
10/13
-17
L
L
U