PITSteelers
1-2
29
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
032
NOSaints
3-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
14
7
8
29
Saints
10
9
10
3
32
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
315
Total Plays
69
54
Yards / Play
5.3
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.22
Passing Yards
246
194
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
8.1
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.27
Rushing Yards
120
121
Rush Attempts
26
28
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
54%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.31
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-24
-11
Sack EPA
-8.28
-3.42
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
80
35
Penalty EPA
-6.49
-3.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Steelers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
26
Yards / Game
5
27
Passing Yards / Game
6
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
20
EPA
EPA / Play
9
16
EPA / Pass
11
19
EPA / Rush
14
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
13
Interceptions / Game
29
7
Fumbles / Game
14
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
18
4th Down Efficiency
7
25
RZ Efficiency
21
23
Saints Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
18
12
Passing Yards / Game
10
30
Rushing Yards / Game
17
1
EPA
EPA / Play
13
10
EPA / Pass
19
11
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
20
Interceptions / Game
12
8
Fumbles / Game
15
5
Turnover EPA / Game
15
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
30
4th Down Efficiency
6
22
RZ Efficiency
13
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Steelers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U