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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. steelers @ titans week 16, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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PIT logo
PITSteelers
11-3
14
TBD
Nissan Stadium
29°F
11 mph
31
TENTitans
12-2
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
29°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
0
7
7
0
14
Titans
0
10
7
8
25

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
374
323
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
5.4
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.04
Passing Yards
303
206
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.12
+0.17
Rushing Yards
71
117
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
23
16
Passing 1st downs
19
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-22.01
--
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-28
-10
Sack EPA
-9.92
-1.53
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
17
45
Penalty EPA
-3.51
-2.46

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
PIT logo
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Titans Defense
Steelers logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
17
1
Yards / Game
22
4
Passing Yards / Game
16
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4

EPA

EPA / Play
19
3
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
28
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
31
Interceptions / Game
14
7
Fumbles / Game
15
18
Turnover EPA / Game
25
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
5
4th Down Efficiency
32
8
RZ Efficiency
14
6
Titans Offense vs Steelers Defense
Titans logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
18
2
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
30
15
Rushing Yards / Game
7
1

EPA

EPA / Play
16
2
EPA / Pass
16
2
EPA / Rush
22
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
2
6
Fumbles / Game
16
19
Turnover EPA / Game
32
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
1
4th Down Efficiency
30
10
RZ Efficiency
6
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PIT logo

Steelers

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/05
5
W
W
P
10/19
28
W
W
P
10/26
-7
L
L
P
11/03
17
W
W
P
11/09
-4
L
L
P
11/16
1
W
L
P
11/20
17
W
W
P
11/30
23
W
W
P
12/07
7
W
W
P
12/14
4
W
W
P
TEN logo

Titans

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/05
3
W
W
P
10/19
24
W
W
P
10/27
10
W
W
P
11/02
3
W
L
P
11/09
7
W
W
P
11/16
10
W
W
P
11/23
-21
L
L
P
11/27
37
W
W
P
12/07
19
W
W
P
12/14
-1
L
L
P