HOUTexans
3-6
12
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
3 mph
10
BUFBills
4-5
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
6
3
3
12
Bills
0
3
3
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
335
Total Plays
53
58
Yards / Play
4.6
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.14
Passing Yards
211
153
Comp/Att
13/20(65%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
10.6
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.26
Rushing Yards
34
182
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
1.2
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.37
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
17
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
20%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.39
-3.87
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-8
-31
Sack EPA
-3.11
-8.04
Penalties
11
6
Penalty Yards
65
44
Penalty EPA
-5.89
-6.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
5
Yards / Game
31
2
Passing Yards / Game
24
10
Rushing Yards / Game
23
7
EPA
EPA / Play
26
8
EPA / Pass
23
7
EPA / Rush
16
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
1
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
21
RZ Efficiency
3
17
Bills Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
27
Yards / Game
30
31
Passing Yards / Game
22
8
Rushing Yards / Game
22
31
EPA
EPA / Play
28
25
EPA / Pass
27
31
EPA / Rush
21
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
17
Interceptions / Game
15
20
Fumbles / Game
28
27
Turnover EPA / Game
4
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
15
30
RZ Efficiency
20
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U