HOUTexans
4-3
13
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
69°F
7 mph
31
DENBroncos
5-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
69°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Texans
0
7
0
6
13
Broncos
7
17
7
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
331
364
Total Plays
73
61
Yards / Play
4.5
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.22
Passing Yards
228
225
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
16/24(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
9.4
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.57
Rushing Yards
103
139
Rush Attempts
27
36
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-4.03
-1.66
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
109
50
Penalty EPA
-8.99
-3.48
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Texans Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
13
Yards / Game
19
5
Passing Yards / Game
17
23
Rushing Yards / Game
13
4
EPA
EPA / Play
21
18
EPA / Pass
14
13
EPA / Rush
20
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
30
Interceptions / Game
11
28
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
19
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
6
4th Down Efficiency
5
7
RZ Efficiency
8
16
Broncos Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
4
22
Passing Yards / Game
31
25
Rushing Yards / Game
5
12
EPA
EPA / Play
8
15
EPA / Pass
8
18
EPA / Rush
11
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
6
Interceptions / Game
24
5
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
13
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
11
1
RZ Efficiency
29
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Texans
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U